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Delta-V

This blog focuses on the nuts-and-bolts of space technology. We're interested in the hardware that's actually going into orbit and beyond. We write about what's involved in building, launching, and operating spacecraft, exploration vehicles, and habitats (and what it takes on the ground to support them) today.

Delta-V is written by Stephen Cass, a senior editor at TR who has covered space technology and exploration for nine years, and Brittany Sauser, a space technology reporter at TR.

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Wednesday, March 03, 2010

Burt Rutan Explains Why Space Tourism Matters

The aerospace engineer talks about bringing space flight to the general public.
By Stephen Cass

Big Think released an interview with Burt Rutan today, in which he talks about why sending rich tourists into space for a few minutes at a time could be immensely important to the future of space travel.

Virgin Galactic, the company founded by Richard Branson to commercialize Rutan's spacecraft designs, is sometimes dinged by critics as technically irrelevant. They say that suborbital hops above the atmosphere are a sideshow distraction compared to the real challange of getting humans into orbit. But Rutan argues that, from a technical point of view, flying tens of thousands of passengers over 10-to-12 years will do two things: mature safety systems, making spaceflight much cheaper; and reduce costs dramatically.

Rutan (who looks healthy these days, as compared to his shockingly gaunt apperance at Virgin Galactic's unveiling of the SpaceShipTwo design in January 2008--a month before he had open heart surgery) also believes that space tourism will produce innovations that cannot be predicted in advance, just as the personal computer industry was unexpectedly spawned when engineers started playing around with microprocessors in the 1970s.

Rutan also postulates an absolute lower limit for the cost of sending humans aloft via rocket power. Noting that propellants are responsible for about a third of the total cost of mature forms of travel, such as commercial airflight or automobile transportation, he estimates that a sub-orbital ticket could one day cost as little as $475 per passenger, while a ticket to orbit could cost $12,000.

While such orbital travel would be dramatically cheaper than the tens of millions charged today for private trips to the International Space Station, this would still dash romantic dreams of mass colonization of space by rocket.

Comments

  • I'm glad there won't be mass migration
    No mass migration means there won't be huge numbers of Space-Irish people wearing t-shirts proclaiming, "Kiss me, I'm Spirish!"  That would be a dark future indeed.
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    dmm
    03/03/2010
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    • Re: I'm glad there won't be mass migration
      Oh, bad luck on making an anti-Irish immigrant comment on the blog of the only editor at TR's Cambridge office to be born, raised, and educated within the fair shores of Ireland. Still, should history truly repeat itself, I'm sure future colonists will appreciate all the space base construction, first responder services, and 43 percent of the Space Presidents that the Spirish will provide... ;)
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      scass
      03/04/2010
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  • >>> yes, but only for, 1 kg. weight, passengers >>>
    .

    "while a ticket to orbit could cost $12,000"

    yes, but only for, 1 kg. weight, passengers... :) :) :)

    the REAL numbers of the COTS-CRS programs clearly say us that the cargo-only "commercial space" will cost up to FIVE TIMES the Space Shuttle costs: http://bit.ly/aP70mi

    the suborbital flights will be very risky and expensive, while, the Soyuz seat's price has been INCREASED from $25M (of the early flights) to a price per seat of over $50M

    but, probably, when Rutan say "one day" refers to the year 2235... :)

    .
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Gaetano Mara...
    03/04/2010
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  • Environmental Impact
    Anybody looking at the environmental impact of burning all those hazardous chemicals powering the rockets in the upper atmosphere?
    Rate this comment: 12345

    fiberman
    03/04/2010
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  • Burt Rutan Explains Why Space Tourism Matters
    Lowering the cost isn't just a matter of impressive new technology, but of efficient use of existing technologies.

    Fuel is perhaps the lowest cost component of space travel; the real reason that a Space Shuttle launch costs up to $500 million is the standing army of NASA employees and contractors needed to run the system. Since they get paid regardless of how many times the Shuttle is launched, the <b>costs per launch</b> could be reduced if the number of launches had been high enough (say 20/year rather than 4).

    The great hope of the DC-X program wasn't the SSTO technology (indeed the DC-X prototype used existing engines, computers and other stuff from various parts bins) but the fact the craft could be launched by a minimal ground crew and controlled by one person using a (1990 era) laptop computer.

    If Virgin Galactic is operated like an airline, costs will be far less regardless of the price of rocket or jet fuel. Even expendable launchers like the Space-X Falcon can be operated for far less than the current rate so long as the system is highly automated and requires a minimum launch support crew.

    Any new technology like beamed energy "lightcraft" or launching the flight article from a high speed MAGLEV will also have to meet the "no standing army/amortized by high throughput" rule to be economical as well.
    Rate this comment: 12345

    Thucydides
    03/04/2010
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  • No gated communities on the Lunar surface?
    And to think I was looking forward to a Moon colonization scenario on the order depicted in the Eddie Murphy extravaganza "Pluto Nash"! Alas, I pictured myself sitting in the living room of a rental house on the Moon, enjoying a cup of fresh ground coffee to a view of the Sea of Tranquility.
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    Netizen
    03/04/2010
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